Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 54.703581 62.472004 70.494589 79.364851 88.864732 98.703060 109.631404
2025-04-27 43.837720 54.963768 67.048529 81.009959 96.562311 113.233881 132.337969
2025-05-04 36.198289 48.935194 63.325068 80.496354 100.159587 121.732192 146.955676
2025-05-11 30.230078 43.919123 59.960979 79.660884 102.757273 128.586466 159.280498
2025-05-18 26.228081 40.701522 58.224601 80.277773 106.641539 136.582914 172.620955
2025-05-25 22.423142 37.269555 55.848616 79.797133 108.959759 142.555999 183.465124
2025-06-01 19.564243 34.733018 54.311944 80.099553 112.013732 149.233269 195.000816
2025-06-08 16.625369 31.755997 51.949800 79.151701 113.373326 153.773720 203.932382
2025-06-15 14.911529 30.311414 51.442208 80.423087 117.353732 161.362852 216.401567
2025-06-22 13.450094 29.072946 51.090141 81.799205 121.395121 168.981565 228.883003
2025-06-29 11.490584 26.849704 49.221271 81.058588 122.678111 173.187046 237.241104
2025-07-06 9.421401 24.185381 46.535059 79.068540 122.245040 175.198011 242.884961
2025-07-13 8.904568 24.084035 47.545936 82.104889 128.326161 185.316342 258.453558
2025-07-20 8.124092 23.432561 47.694497 83.932541 132.836669 193.504916 271.715445
2025-07-27 6.875068 21.759779 46.193722 83.385091 134.180599 197.705615 280.084845
2025-08-03 5.717786 20.073748 44.547172 82.535456 135.053672 201.265403 287.633660
2025-08-10 4.986041 19.121149 43.977634 83.164876 137.855487 207.235327 298.141653
2025-08-17 4.143422 17.778061 42.682606 82.674138 139.103673 211.201395 306.151196
2025-08-24 3.531663 16.832262 41.969391 82.982954 141.398171 216.481765 315.785246
2025-08-31 2.816756 15.466975 40.446274 82.014981 141.897372 219.423215 322.477911
2025-09-07 2.481834 15.004708 40.446669 83.313336 145.500038 226.364192 334.187706
2025-09-14 2.193530 14.606423 40.528944 84.718451 149.243838 233.490807 346.143035
2025-09-21 1.712492 13.492531 39.240855 83.962254 149.939425 236.630478 353.060880